Reflecting on 9/11

One of the biggest temptations for America after the terrorist attacks of September 11th, 2001, was to turn inward. We mostly resisted…

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The trauma of 9/11 threatened to turn our great nation inward behind rising barriers to trade and immigration. 

But, after the stunning images of that day, trashing symbols of world trade went out of fashion. For world leaders, it became more urgent than ever to promote peaceful commerce through international cooperation.

A decade after the fall of the World Trade Center towers, the volume of U.S. exports was 40% higher and imports 27% higher than in 2000. Since 2000, foreign-owned assets in the United States and U.S.-owned assets abroad have both more than doubled in relation to our nation’s GDP.

Meanwhile, the federal government ramped up security and visa requirements after 9/11 in many ways that were necessary, but also in ways that only discourage well-meaning foreign tourists, students and business travelers from visiting the U.S.

As a result, while trade and investment flows expanded, people flows stagnated. The U.S. has lost significant market share in global tourism since 2001, causing the loss of hundreds of billions of dollars and hundreds of thousands of jobs in the U.S. tourism industry. 

America’s openness to the world — to trade, investment, ideas and people — has been a source of strength and influence for decades. That openness was tested by the awful events of September 11th, 2011. The fact that we remained open to commerce and, more grudgingly, immigration is yet another defeat for al Qaeda.

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Fifteen Years Since 9/11: The Foreign Policy Impact

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Fifteen years ago, the attacks of Sept. 11 took the lives of 2,903 Americans and spurred the launch of a global war against terrorism. Since then, 6,888 more Americans have died fighting for their country in that war. 

Since 9/11, America’s standing in the world has fallen to dangerously low levels, with the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan contributing significantly to this decline. Yet, the United States continues to pursue al-Qaida and the Islamic State group throughout the Middle East

Given the importance of homeland security as well as the staggering costs of the war on terror it is critical to ask whether or not the current American strategy is the right one.

The answer is no, but the strategy is slowly improving. 

America’s initial overreaction to the threat of terrorism in the wake of 9/11 was understandable. Not long afterwards, however, it became clear that the threat of terrorism against the United States had not in fact risen substantially. 

In the years since 9/11, Islamist-inspired terrorism has been responsible for roughly seven American deaths per year. Since 9/11 just two terrorist plots — both of which were foiled — were organized by actual terrorist groups themselves. Every terrorist attack is a tragedy but the truth is that terrorism against Americans in the homeland is a very limited threat. Given this, there was good reason to beef up homeland security after 9/11 and to consider targeted efforts to disrupt al-Qaida. However, there was no justification for an expansive war on terror abroad.

Fifteen years into the war on terror, the United States should acknowledge that it needs to do less, not more. In the long run, the solution for Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, Libya, etc., and thus the solution to Islamist-inspired terrorism, must come from the citizens of those countries.

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NSA Surveillance: What Happens Next?

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Key provisions of the controversial post-9/11 anti-terrorism law (including section 215, which authorizes the National Security Agency’s collection of Americans’ telephone calling records) are set to expire on June 1. While the House has addressed the issue by passing the USA Freedom Act, the Senate is still dealing with competing proposals. In a ten-and-a-half-hour-long filibuster over the NSA surveillance programs, Sen. Rand Paul cited analysis by former CIA analyst and current Cato scholar Patrick G. Eddington

“Through his filibuster, Paul has all but assured that 215 will sunset — at least until Congress returns from its Memorial Day recess in early June,” notes Eddington.

But, what will happen next? Eddington explains what we can expect….

Accountability Requires Release of Torture Report, Says Former CIA Analyst

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From 1988 to 1996, Patrick G. Eddington was a military imagery analyst at the CIA’s National Photographic Interpretation Center. He received numerous accolades for his analytical work, including letters of commendation from the Joint Special Operations Command, the Joint Warfare Analysis Center and the CIA’s Office of Military Affairs. 

In a new Cato Institute podcast and an op/ed featured on CNN.com, Eddington takes on the newly declassified Committee Study of the Central Intelligence Agency’s Detention and Interrogation Program, originally prepared by the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence in 2012. 

“Releasing this report is critical because it’s about America coming to terms with what we have done in the so-called ‘war on terror,’” he says.

Eddington doesn’t buy the argument that releasing the report will endanger U.S. national security, arguing that “drone strikes are doing as much or more to fuel anti-Americanism and help with terrorist recruitment than this report will ever do.”

Unfortunately, Eddington concludes, “the release of this summary may constitute the only form of public accountability that any of the individuals involved in this will ever suffer from.”

“Whether as federal employees or political appointees, CIA personnel took an oath to uphold the laws of the United States. Instead, they chose to engage in acts that clearly violated those laws, including international treaties banning the use of torture to which the United States is not only a signatory, but a putative leader as well,” lamented Eddington.

Listen to the podcast, and then read Eddington’s analysis.

What Does Responsible Counterterrorism Policy Look Like?

Terrorism is a hazard to human life, and it should be dealt with in a manner similar to that applied to other hazards—albeit with an appreciation for the fact that terrorism often evokes extraordinary fear and anxiety. The anniversary of the September 11th tragedies gives us the perfect opportunity to reflect on how our nation has approached terrorism from a policy perspective.

In a newly released study, Cato's John Mueller  and the University of Newcastle's Mark G. Stewart join together to assess U.S. spending on domestic counterterrorism since September 11, 2001, concluding there has been very little proven benefit.

In Responsible Counterterrorism Policy, Mueller and Stewart apply conventional methods of risk assessment and cost-benefit analysis to the Department of Homeland Security (DHS). The study’s authors look at four issues central to risk analysis for terrorism — the cost per saved life, acceptable risk, cost–benefit analysis, and risk communication — and assess the degree to which risk analysis has been coherently applied to counterterrorism efforts by the U.S. government.

Mueller and Stewart found that DHS’ risk assessment process is deeply flawed and often absent from discussions of spending priorities. In order for the post-9/11 increase in domestic homeland security expenditures to be deemed cost-effective, these added measures would have to have deterred, disrupted, or protected against more than one otherwise successful car-bomb attack in a crowded area every single day.

Homeland Security bureaucrats generally do not thoroughly evaluate counterterrorism expenditures, and recent studies suggest DHS spent hundreds of billions of dollars without knowing what it was doing. Key to this systemic waste is a tendency to inflate the threat Americans face from terrorism, which leads to policies that are exceptionally risk averse. In addition, decision-makers appear to be overly fearful about negative reactions to any relaxations of security measures and also about the consequences of failing to overreact.

Public officials are supposed to responsibly spend funds. The burden is on DHS to explain why spending more than $1 trillion with very little proven benefit is not a reckless waste of resources. Americans concerned about their safety and though of their loved ones deserve answers that will only emerge once policymakers begin thoroughly assessing domestic security expenditures.

Read the full study….